Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.678123 49.177738 57.398183 67.045554 78.023747 90.093350 104.331425
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.071500 38.620978 50.122644 64.858250 83.084597 104.729758 132.203788
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.710181 33.118468 46.600921 65.049105 89.298216 119.718441 160.344397
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.720809 29.565951 44.502342 66.077342 95.860047 134.875104 189.077175
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.159785 24.246222 39.016114 61.513249 94.065909 138.490519 202.519148
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.295263 22.507873 38.229033 63.213758 100.730117 153.578872 231.923968
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.289167 20.153991 36.118719 62.573418 103.750194 163.544768 254.583463
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.594505 19.848057 37.117772 66.691221 114.024356 184.381361 293.698639
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.659461 17.000069 33.552906 63.092793 112.035237 186.895775 306.116721
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.965963 16.327018 33.574910 65.328977 119.313629 203.648594 340.406348
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.677857 16.393306 34.890381 69.837971 130.526866 226.985442 385.714106
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.085187 15.730477 34.771544 71.781074 137.547076 244.034199 422.036484
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.227828 14.456448 33.546661 72.015196 142.384872 258.999254 457.760578
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.246792 12.702266 31.157371 69.894650 143.086710 267.526129 484.197269
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.636929 11.676379 30.081317 70.118665 147.914526 283.115510 522.830105
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.187319 10.940773 29.498462 71.216045 154.365634 301.756377 567.357431
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.425154 9.138207 26.217338 66.353315 149.113101 299.696700 576.887616
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.174427 8.731035 26.109770 68.165600 156.828896 320.906342 627.096961
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.832982 7.941310 24.933600 67.483238 159.510777 333.142039 662.243023
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.763174 8.019823 25.964830 71.870104 172.741044 365.338590 733.884834
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.373306 6.864859 23.563152 68.036704 168.700306 365.200622 747.891872
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.260878 6.684081 23.775464 70.419156 177.883498 390.433719 808.709185
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.233757 6.830005 24.933901 75.220652 192.565907 426.853175 891.337788